INSA poll of 23 January 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 23 Jan 2023
- Respondents
- 2,009
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- SPD20.5%+0.5
- Grüne16.5%+0.5
- AfD15.0%±0
- FDP7.5%+0.5
- Linke4.5%-0.5
- Others8.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Jan 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 20.5%. 2,009 people were surveyed from 20 to 23 Jan 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Jan 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Jan 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.3average 18.8
- SPD +0.9average 19.6
- AfD +0.8average 14.2
- FDP +0.5average 7.0
- Linke -0.4average 4.9
- CDU/CSU +0.3average 27.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU201
- SPD148
- Grüne119
- AfD108
- FDP54
- CDU/CSU + SPD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne320 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP363 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.