INSA poll of 22 January 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 20 Jan 2023
- Respondents
- 1,508
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- SPD20.0%-1.0
- Grüne16.0%-0.5
- AfD15.0%±0
- FDP7.0%-0.5
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others9.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Jan 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,508 people were surveyed from 16 to 20 Jan 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Jan 2023, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Jan 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.8average 18.8
- AfD +0.8average 14.2
- SPD +0.4average 19.6
- CDU/CSU +0.3average 27.7
- Linke +0.1average 4.9
- FDP ±0average 7.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU194
- SPD138
- Grüne111
- AfD104
- FDP48
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + SPD332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD409 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP353 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.