INSA poll of 15 January 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 13 Jan 2023
- Respondents
- 1,202
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- SPD20.0%±0
- Grüne17.0%-0.5
- AfD15.0%±0
- FDP8.0%+0.5
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Jan 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,202 people were surveyed from 9 to 13 Jan 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Jan 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Jan 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.6average 18.6
- FDP +1.0average 7.0
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 27.9
- AfD +0.9average 14.1
- SPD +0.5average 19.5
- Linke ±0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- SPD137
- Grüne116
- AfD103
- FDP55
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD404 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP356 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.