INSA poll of 10 January 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 9 Jan 2023
- Respondents
- 2,006
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- SPD20.0%±0
- Grüne17.5%-0.5
- AfD15.0%±0
- FDP7.5%+0.5
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 8 Jan 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 2,006 people were surveyed from 6 to 9 Jan 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 8 Jan 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Jan 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 28.4
- Grüne -1.1average 18.6
- AfD +1.1average 13.9
- FDP +0.6average 6.9
- SPD +0.4average 19.6
- Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- SPD137
- Grüne120
- AfD103
- FDP51
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD408 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.