INSA poll of 8 January 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 6 Jan 2023
- Respondents
- 1,465
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- SPD20.0%±0
- Grüne18.0%+0.5
- AfD15.0%±0
- FDP7.0%-0.5
- Linke5.0%+0.5
- Others8.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Jan 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,465 people were surveyed from 2 to 6 Jan 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Jan 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Jan 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 28.3
- AfD +1.1average 13.9
- Grüne -0.5average 18.5
- SPD +0.3average 19.7
- FDP +0.1average 6.9
- Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- SPD137
- Grüne123
- AfD103
- FDP48
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD411 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.