INSA poll of 24 December 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 22 Dec 2022
- Respondents
- 1,203
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%-0.5
- SPD21.0%±0
- Grüne17.0%-0.5
- AfD14.0%-0.5
- FDP8.0%+0.5
- Linke5.0%+0.5
- Others8.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Dec 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,203 people were surveyed from 19 to 22 Dec 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Dec 2022, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Dec 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.8average 18.8
- SPD +1.4average 19.6
- CDU/CSU -1.2average 28.2
- FDP +1.1average 6.9
- AfD +0.3average 13.7
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- SPD144
- Grüne116
- AfD96
- FDP55
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD397 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP356 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke335 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.