INSA poll of 19 December 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 19 Dec 2022
- Respondents
- 2,005
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.5%+0.5
- SPD21.0%±0
- Grüne17.5%-0.5
- AfD14.5%-0.5
- FDP7.5%+0.5
- Linke4.5%-0.5
- Others7.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Dec 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.5%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 2,005 people were surveyed from 16 to 19 Dec 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Dec 2022, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.9 points lower and SPD 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Dec 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.9average 19.4
- SPD +1.8average 19.2
- FDP +0.9average 6.6
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 28.1
- AfD +0.5average 14.0
- Linke -0.4average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU197
- SPD150
- Grüne125
- AfD104
- FDP54
- CDU/CSU + SPD347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP355 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.