INSA poll of 18 December 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 16 Dec 2022
- Respondents
- 1,501
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%-1.5
- SPD21.0%+1.0
- Grüne18.0%±0
- AfD15.0%-0.5
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%+0.5
- Others7.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Dec 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,501 people were surveyed from 12 to 16 Dec 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Dec 2022, CDU/CSU loses 1.5 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Dec 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.8average 19.2
- Grüne -1.4average 19.4
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 28.1
- AfD +1.0average 14.0
- FDP +0.4average 6.6
- Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU183
- SPD142
- Grüne122
- AfD102
- FDP47
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD407 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.