INSA poll of 13 December 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 12 Dec 2022
- Respondents
- 2,007
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.5%+0.5
- SPD20.0%±0
- Grüne18.0%±0
- AfD15.5%+0.5
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke4.5%+0.5
- Others6.5%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Dec 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.5%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 2,007 people were surveyed from 9 to 12 Dec 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Dec 2022, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.6 points lower and AfD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Dec 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.6average 19.6
- AfD +1.5average 14.0
- SPD +0.8average 19.2
- FDP +0.6average 6.4
- CDU/CSU +0.5average 28.0
- Linke -0.5average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU202
- SPD141
- Grüne127
- AfD110
- FDP50
- CDU/CSU + SPD343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne329 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP362 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.