INSA poll of 11 December 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 9 Dec 2022
- Respondents
- 1,502
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- SPD20.0%-0.5
- Grüne18.0%+1.0
- AfD15.0%+0.5
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke4.0%-1.0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Dec 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,502 people were surveyed from 5 to 9 Dec 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Dec 2022, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Dec 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.6average 19.6
- AfD +1.0average 14.0
- Linke -1.0average 5.0
- SPD +0.8average 19.2
- FDP +0.6average 6.4
- CDU/CSU ±0average 28.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU201
- SPD143
- Grüne129
- AfD107
- FDP50
- CDU/CSU + SPD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne330 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP358 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.