INSA poll of 6 December 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 5 Dec 2022
- Respondents
- 2,008
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- SPD20.5%+0.5
- Grüne17.0%±0
- AfD14.5%-0.5
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Dec 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 20.5%. 2,008 people were surveyed from 3 to 5 Dec 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Dec 2022, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Dec 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.6average 19.6
- SPD +1.2average 19.3
- AfD +0.7average 13.8
- FDP +0.5average 6.5
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 28.1
- Linke -0.1average 5.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- SPD140
- Grüne117
- AfD99
- FDP48
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD408 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP357 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.