INSA poll of 4 December 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Nov 2022 to 2 Dec 2022
- Respondents
- 1,502
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%+1.0
- SPD20.0%-1.0
- Grüne17.0%-0.5
- AfD15.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others8.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Nov 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,502 people were surveyed from 28 Nov 2022 to 2 Dec 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Nov 2022, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Dec 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.7average 19.7
- AfD +1.2average 13.8
- SPD +0.7average 19.3
- FDP +0.6average 6.4
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 28.1
- Linke -0.1average 5.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- SPD137
- Grüne116
- AfD103
- FDP48
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD411 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP356 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.