INSA poll of 28 November 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 28 Nov 2022
- Respondents
- 2,006
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- SPD21.0%±0
- Grüne17.5%-0.5
- AfD15.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others7.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Nov 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 2,006 people were surveyed from 25 to 28 Nov 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Nov 2022, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.1 points lower and SPD 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Nov 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.1average 19.6
- SPD +1.6average 19.4
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 28.0
- AfD +1.0average 14.0
- FDP +0.5average 6.5
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU184
- SPD143
- Grüne119
- AfD102
- FDP48
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD327 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD405 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP334 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke320 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.