INSA poll of 20 November 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 18 Nov 2022
- Respondents
- 1,314
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%+0.5
- SPD20.0%-0.5
- Grüne17.0%-0.5
- AfD15.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%+0.5
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Nov 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,314 people were surveyed from 14 to 18 Nov 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Nov 2022, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.4 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Nov 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.4average 19.4
- AfD +0.8average 14.2
- SPD +0.6average 19.4
- FDP +0.5average 6.5
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
- CDU/CSU +0.1average 27.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- SPD137
- Grüne116
- AfD103
- FDP48
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD411 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP356 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.