INSA poll of 21 November 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 21 Nov 2022
- Respondents
- 2,004
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- SPD20.0%±0
- Grüne17.0%±0
- AfD15.0%±0
- FDP7.5%+0.5
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others7.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Nov 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 2,004 people were surveyed from 18 to 21 Nov 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Nov 2022, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.4 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Nov 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.4average 19.4
- FDP +1.0average 6.5
- AfD +0.8average 14.2
- SPD +0.6average 19.4
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
- CDU/CSU +0.1average 27.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU191
- SPD136
- Grüne116
- AfD102
- FDP51
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD327 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD409 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP358 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke327 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.