INSA poll of 15 November 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 14 Nov 2022
- Respondents
- 2,010
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.5%-0.5
- SPD20.5%-0.5
- Grüne17.5%-0.5
- AfD15.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke4.5%+0.5
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Nov 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.5%, followed by SPD on 20.5%. 2,010 people were surveyed from 11 to 14 Nov 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Nov 2022, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.1 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Nov 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.1average 19.6
- SPD +1.0average 19.5
- AfD +0.7average 14.3
- FDP +0.5average 6.5
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 27.8
- Linke -0.3average 4.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU198
- SPD148
- Grüne126
- AfD108
- FDP50
- CDU/CSU + SPD346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne324 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD382 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP356 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP324 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.