INSA poll of 13 November 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 11 Nov 2022
- Respondents
- 1,255
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%+1.0
- SPD21.0%±0
- Grüne18.0%+0.5
- AfD15.0%+0.5
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Linke4.0%-0.5
- Others7.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 8 Nov 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,255 people were surveyed from 8 to 11 Nov 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 8 Nov 2022, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Nov 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.5average 19.5
- Grüne -1.4average 19.4
- Linke -0.9average 4.9
- AfD +0.7average 14.3
- FDP +0.5average 6.5
- CDU/CSU +0.2average 27.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU198
- SPD149
- Grüne127
- AfD106
- FDP50
- CDU/CSU + SPD347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne325 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD382 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP354 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.