INSA poll of 8 November 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 7 Nov 2022
- Respondents
- 2,007
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- SPD21.0%±0
- Grüne17.5%+0.5
- AfD14.5%-0.5
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke4.5%-0.5
- Others7.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Nov 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 2,007 people were surveyed from 4 to 7 Nov 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Nov 2022, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.0 points higher and Grüne 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Nov 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.0average 19.0
- Grüne -1.9average 19.4
- FDP +1.3average 6.7
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 27.7
- Linke -0.4average 4.9
- AfD +0.1average 14.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU194
- SPD150
- Grüne125
- AfD104
- FDP57
- CDU/CSU + SPD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne319 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP355 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP332 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.