INSA poll of 6 November 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 4 Nov 2022
- Respondents
- 1,286
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
- SPD21.0%+0.5
- Grüne17.0%-1.0
- AfD15.0%±0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Linke5.0%+0.5
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 1 Nov 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,286 people were surveyed from 1 to 4 Nov 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 1 Nov 2022, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.5 points lower and SPD 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Nov 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.5average 19.5
- SPD +1.9average 19.1
- FDP +1.3average 6.7
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 27.6
- AfD +0.6average 14.4
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU183
- SPD142
- Grüne115
- AfD102
- FDP54
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD400 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.