INSA poll of 1 November 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 28 to 31 Oct 2022
- Respondents
- 2,009
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%±0
- SPD20.5%+0.5
- Grüne18.0%±0
- AfD15.0%±0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke4.5%-0.5
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 Oct 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 20.5%. 2,009 people were surveyed from 28 to 31 Oct 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 Oct 2022, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has FDP 2.4 points higher and Grüne 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Nov 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +2.4average 6.6
- Grüne -1.7average 19.7
- SPD +1.5average 19.0
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 27.4
- AfD +0.3average 14.7
- Linke -0.3average 4.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- SPD146
- Grüne128
- AfD107
- FDP64
- CDU/CSU + SPD331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD420 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP356 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP338 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP317 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.