INSA poll of 30 October 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 28 Oct 2022
- Respondents
- 1,230
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%-0.5
- SPD20.0%-0.5
- Grüne18.0%+0.5
- AfD15.0%±0
- FDP9.0%+0.5
- Linke5.0%+0.5
- Others7.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Oct 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,230 people were surveyed from 24 to 28 Oct 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Oct 2022, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has FDP 2.4 points higher and Grüne 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +2.4average 6.6
- Grüne -1.7average 19.7
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 27.4
- SPD +1.0average 19.0
- AfD +0.3average 14.7
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU176
- SPD135
- Grüne122
- AfD102
- FDP61
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne433 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD413 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD400 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP359 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke332 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.