INSA poll of 25 October 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 24 Oct 2022
- Respondents
- 2,007
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.5%-0.5
- SPD20.5%+0.5
- Grüne17.5%-0.5
- AfD15.0%±0
- FDP8.5%+0.5
- Linke4.5%-0.5
- Others7.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Oct 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.5%, followed by SPD on 20.5%. 2,007 people were surveyed from 21 to 24 Oct 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Oct 2022, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.3 points lower and FDP 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.3average 19.8
- FDP +1.8average 6.7
- SPD +1.4average 19.1
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 27.2
- AfD +0.4average 14.6
- Linke -0.2average 4.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- SPD147
- Grüne125
- AfD107
- FDP61
- CDU/CSU + SPD337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD422 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP376 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP358 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.