INSA poll of 23 October 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 21 Oct 2022
- Respondents
- 1,503
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%-0.5
- SPD20.0%+0.5
- Grüne18.0%-0.5
- AfD15.0%-0.5
- FDP8.0%+0.5
- Linke5.0%+0.5
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 Oct 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,503 people were surveyed from 17 to 21 Oct 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 Oct 2022, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.8average 19.8
- FDP +1.3average 6.7
- SPD +0.8average 19.2
- AfD +0.4average 14.6
- Linke +0.3average 4.7
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 27.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU183
- SPD135
- Grüne122
- AfD102
- FDP54
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD407 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP359 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.