INSA poll of 17 October 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 17 Oct 2022
- Respondents
- 2,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.5%-0.5
- SPD19.5%+0.5
- Grüne18.5%+0.5
- AfD15.5%+0.5
- FDP7.5%-0.5
- Linke4.5%-0.5
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Oct 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.5%, followed by SPD on 19.5%. 2,000 people were surveyed from 14 to 17 Oct 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Oct 2022, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.4average 19.9
- AfD +1.3average 14.2
- SPD +0.8average 18.7
- FDP +0.7average 6.8
- Linke -0.6average 5.1
- CDU/CSU +0.3average 27.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU196
- SPD139
- Grüne132
- AfD110
- FDP53
- CDU/CSU + SPD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne328 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP359 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP324 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.