INSA poll of 16 October 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 14 Oct 2022
- Respondents
- 1,327
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%+0.5
- SPD19.0%-0.5
- Grüne18.0%-1.0
- AfD15.0%±0
- FDP8.0%+0.5
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others7.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Oct 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,327 people were surveyed from 10 to 14 Oct 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Oct 2022, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.9average 19.9
- FDP +1.2average 6.8
- CDU/CSU +0.8average 27.2
- AfD +0.8average 14.2
- SPD +0.3average 18.7
- Linke -0.1average 5.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU189
- SPD129
- Grüne122
- AfD102
- FDP54
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD413 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP365 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.