INSA poll of 10 October 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 10 Oct 2022
- Respondents
- 2,005
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.5%+0.5
- SPD19.5%+0.5
- Grüne19.0%±0
- AfD15.0%±0
- FDP7.5%-0.5
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others6.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 8 Oct 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.5%, followed by SPD on 19.5%. 2,005 people were surveyed from 4 to 10 Oct 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 8 Oct 2022, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.4average 13.6
- SPD +1.1average 18.4
- Grüne -0.9average 19.9
- FDP +0.3average 7.2
- Linke -0.3average 5.3
- CDU/CSU ±0average 27.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- SPD131
- Grüne128
- AfD101
- FDP51
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD316 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD414 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP364 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke320 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.