INSA poll of 8 October 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 7 Oct 2022
- Respondents
- 1,315
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%-0.5
- SPD19.0%±0
- Grüne19.0%+0.5
- AfD15.0%±0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke5.0%-0.5
- Others7.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Oct 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,315 people were surveyed from 4 to 7 Oct 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Oct 2022, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.4average 13.6
- Grüne -0.9average 19.9
- FDP +0.8average 7.2
- SPD +0.6average 18.4
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 27.5
- Linke -0.3average 5.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU183
- SPD129
- Grüne129
- AfD101
- FDP54
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne441 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD413 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD413 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP366 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.