INSA poll of 2 October 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 26 to 30 Sep 2022
- Respondents
- 1,210
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%+0.5
- SPD19.0%+1.0
- Grüne18.0%-1.5
- AfD15.0%±0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke6.0%+0.5
- Others6.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Sep 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,210 people were surveyed from 26 to 30 Sep 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Sep 2022, Grüne loses 1.5 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.4 points lower and AfD 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.4average 20.4
- AfD +1.9average 13.1
- FDP +0.8average 7.2
- Linke +0.8average 5.2
- CDU/CSU +0.4average 27.6
- SPD +0.4average 18.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU188
- SPD127
- Grüne121
- AfD100
- FDP54
- Linke40
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne436 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD415 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD409 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke349 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.