INSA poll of 26 September 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 26 Sep 2022
- Respondents
- 2,102
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.5%-0.5
- Grüne19.5%+0.5
- SPD18.0%-1.0
- AfD15.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke5.5%+0.5
- Others6.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Sep 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.5%, followed by Grüne on 19.5%. 2,102 people were surveyed from 23 to 26 Sep 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Sep 2022, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.9average 13.1
- FDP +1.0average 7.0
- Grüne -0.8average 20.3
- SPD -0.8average 18.8
- Linke +0.3average 5.2
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 27.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- Grüne132
- SPD121
- AfD101
- FDP54
- Linke37
- CDU/CSU + Grüne317 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD407 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP360 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke323 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.