INSA poll of 25 September 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 23 Sep 2022
- Respondents
- 1,255
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%-0.5
- SPD19.0%+0.5
- Grüne19.0%±0
- AfD14.0%±0
- FDP8.0%+0.5
- Linke5.0%-0.5
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Sep 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,255 people were surveyed from 19 to 23 Sep 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Sep 2022, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.3average 20.3
- FDP +1.0average 7.0
- AfD +0.9average 13.1
- CDU/CSU +0.3average 27.7
- SPD +0.2average 18.8
- Linke -0.2average 5.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU189
- SPD129
- Grüne129
- AfD95
- FDP54
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne318 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.