INSA poll of 20 September 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 19 Sep 2022
- Respondents
- 2,080
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.5%+0.5
- Grüne19.0%±0
- SPD18.5%-0.5
- AfD14.0%+1.0
- FDP7.5%+0.5
- Linke5.5%-0.5
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Sep 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.5%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,080 people were surveyed from 16 to 19 Sep 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Sep 2022, AfD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.4average 20.4
- CDU/CSU +1.0average 27.5
- AfD +1.0average 13.0
- FDP +0.6average 6.9
- SPD -0.3average 18.8
- Linke +0.1average 5.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU193
- Grüne129
- SPD125
- AfD95
- FDP51
- Linke37
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD318 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.