INSA poll of 18 September 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 16 Sep 2022
- Respondents
- 1,476
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- SPD19.0%+1.0
- Grüne19.0%-1.0
- AfD13.0%-0.5
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Linke6.0%+0.5
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Sep 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,476 people were surveyed from 12 to 16 Sep 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Sep 2022, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.6average 20.6
- Linke +0.6average 5.4
- CDU/CSU +0.5average 27.5
- SPD +0.2average 18.8
- FDP +0.2average 6.8
- AfD ±0average 13.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- SPD130
- Grüne130
- AfD89
- FDP48
- Linke41
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.