INSA poll of 12 September 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 12 Sep 2022
- Respondents
- 2,039
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%+1.0
- Grüne20.0%±0
- SPD18.0%-1.0
- AfD13.5%+0.5
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke5.5%+0.5
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Sep 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 2,039 people were surveyed from 9 to 12 Sep 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Sep 2022, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.6average 21.6
- CDU/CSU +1.3average 26.7
- AfD +1.1average 12.4
- SPD -0.9average 18.9
- FDP +0.8average 7.2
- Linke +0.2average 5.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- Grüne136
- SPD122
- AfD91
- FDP54
- Linke37
- CDU/CSU + Grüne326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD403 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke349 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.