INSA poll of 11 September 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 9 Sep 2022
- Respondents
- 1,443
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%-1.0
- Grüne20.0%-0.5
- SPD19.0%+1.0
- AfD13.0%-0.5
- FDP8.0%+0.5
- Linke5.0%-0.5
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Sep 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,443 people were surveyed from 5 to 9 Sep 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Sep 2022, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.6average 21.6
- FDP +0.8average 7.2
- AfD +0.6average 12.4
- CDU/CSU +0.3average 26.7
- Linke -0.3average 5.3
- SPD +0.1average 18.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- Grüne137
- SPD130
- AfD89
- FDP55
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD404 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP370 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP329 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.