INSA poll of 6 September 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 5 Sep 2022
- Respondents
- 2,004
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- Grüne20.5%+0.5
- SPD18.0%-1.0
- AfD13.5%+0.5
- FDP7.5%-0.5
- Linke5.5%+0.5
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Sep 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.5%. 2,004 people were surveyed from 2 to 5 Sep 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Sep 2022, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.4 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.4average 22.9
- CDU/CSU +1.5average 26.5
- AfD +1.5average 12.0
- SPD -0.8average 18.8
- Linke +0.7average 4.8
- FDP +0.1average 7.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- Grüne139
- SPD122
- AfD91
- FDP51
- Linke37
- CDU/CSU + Grüne329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD403 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP363 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.