INSA poll of 4 September 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Aug 2022 to 2 Sep 2022
- Respondents
- 1,203
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%+0.5
- Grüne20.0%-0.5
- SPD19.0%±0
- AfD13.0%±0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke5.0%-0.5
- Others7.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 Aug 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,203 people were surveyed from 29 Aug 2022 to 2 Sep 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 Aug 2022, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 3.0 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -3.0average 23.0
- CDU/CSU +1.5average 26.5
- AfD +1.0average 12.0
- FDP +0.6average 7.4
- SPD +0.3average 18.7
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- Grüne135
- SPD129
- AfD88
- FDP54
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + Grüne325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD319 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.