INSA poll of 30 August 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 26 to 29 Aug 2022
- Respondents
- 2,138
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.5%-0.5
- Grüne20.5%-0.5
- SPD19.0%-1.0
- AfD13.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke5.5%+0.5
- Others6.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Aug 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.5%, followed by Grüne on 20.5%. 2,138 people were surveyed from 26 to 29 Aug 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Aug 2022, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Aug 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.7average 23.2
- AfD +1.1average 11.9
- FDP +0.8average 7.2
- Linke +0.8average 4.7
- CDU/CSU +0.7average 26.8
- SPD +0.4average 18.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- Grüne138
- SPD128
- AfD88
- FDP54
- Linke37
- CDU/CSU + Grüne323 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD401 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP367 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP327 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP320 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.