Single poll

INSA poll of 28 August 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
22 to 26 Aug 2022
Respondents
1,204
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU28.0%±0
  • Grüne21.0%±0
  • SPD20.0%+1.5
  • AfD12.0%-1.0
  • FDP8.0%+0.5
  • Linke5.0%-0.5
  • Others6.0%-0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Aug 2022.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,204 people were surveyed from 22 to 26 Aug 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Aug 2022, SPD gains 1.5 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.2 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Aug 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -2.2average 23.2
  • SPD +1.3average 18.7
  • CDU/CSU +1.2average 26.8
  • FDP +0.8average 7.2
  • Linke +0.4average 4.6
  • AfD +0.1average 11.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 188 seatsGrüne: 141 seatsSPD: 134 seatsAfD: 80 seatsFDP: 54 seatsLinke: 33 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU188
  • Grüne141
  • SPD134
  • AfD80
  • FDP54
  • Linke33
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne329 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD355 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP329 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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