INSA poll of 23 August 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 22 Aug 2022
- Respondents
- 2,091
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- Grüne21.0%±0
- SPD18.5%-0.5
- AfD13.0%+1.0
- FDP7.5%-0.5
- Linke5.5%+0.5
- Others6.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Aug 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 2,091 people were surveyed from 19 to 22 Aug 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Aug 2022, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.4 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Aug 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.4average 23.4
- AfD +1.3average 11.7
- CDU/CSU +1.1average 26.9
- Linke +1.0average 4.5
- SPD -0.6average 19.1
- FDP +0.5average 7.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU189
- Grüne141
- SPD125
- AfD88
- FDP50
- Linke37
- CDU/CSU + Grüne330 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD402 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP364 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP327 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP316 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.