Single poll

INSA poll of 20 August 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
15 to 19 Aug 2022
Respondents
1,427
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU28.0%±0
  • Grüne21.0%-1.0
  • SPD19.0%±0
  • AfD12.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Others7.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Aug 2022.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,427 people were surveyed from 15 to 19 Aug 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Aug 2022, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.4 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Aug 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -2.4average 23.4
  • CDU/CSU +1.1average 26.9
  • FDP +1.1average 6.9
  • Linke +0.5average 4.5
  • AfD +0.3average 11.7
  • SPD -0.1average 19.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 190 seatsGrüne: 142 seatsSPD: 129 seatsAfD: 81 seatsFDP: 54 seatsLinke: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU190
  • Grüne142
  • SPD129
  • AfD81
  • FDP54
  • Linke34
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD319 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP325 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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