INSA poll of 15 August 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 15 Aug 2022
- Respondents
- 2,146
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%+1.0
- Grüne22.0%±0
- SPD19.0%±0
- AfD12.0%±0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Aug 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 2,146 people were surveyed from 12 to 15 Aug 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Aug 2022, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Aug 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.4average 26.6
- Grüne -1.0average 23.0
- FDP +0.6average 7.4
- AfD +0.4average 11.6
- SPD -0.2average 19.2
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU188
- Grüne147
- SPD127
- AfD80
- FDP54
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + Grüne335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD395 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP369 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke349 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.