INSA poll of 14 August 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 12 Aug 2022
- Respondents
- 1,502
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- Grüne22.0%+0.5
- SPD19.0%+1.0
- AfD12.0%-0.5
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Linke5.0%-0.5
- Others6.0%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Aug 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,502 people were surveyed from 5 to 12 Aug 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Aug 2022, SPD gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has FDP 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Aug 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +1.6average 7.4
- Grüne -1.0average 23.0
- CDU/CSU +0.4average 26.6
- AfD +0.4average 11.6
- SPD -0.2average 19.2
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- Grüne148
- SPD127
- AfD80
- FDP60
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + Grüne329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD388 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP368 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke342 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.