INSA poll of 9 August 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 8 Aug 2022
- Respondents
- 2,099
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- Grüne21.5%+0.5
- SPD18.0%-1.0
- AfD12.5%+0.5
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Linke5.5%+0.5
- Others7.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Aug 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.5%. 2,099 people were surveyed from 5 to 8 Aug 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Aug 2022, SPD loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.0 points lower and AfD 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Aug 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.0average 20.0
- AfD +1.6average 10.9
- Grüne -1.2average 22.7
- Linke +0.7average 4.8
- FDP +0.6average 7.4
- CDU/CSU +0.5average 26.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU184
- Grüne146
- SPD123
- AfD85
- FDP55
- Linke37
- CDU/CSU + Grüne330 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD392 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP362 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP324 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP324 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.