Single poll

INSA poll of 7 August 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
1 to 5 Aug 2022
Respondents
1,701
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU27.0%+0.5
  • Grüne21.0%-1.0
  • SPD19.0%+0.5
  • AfD12.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%+1.0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Others7.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Aug 2022.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,701 people were surveyed from 1 to 5 Aug 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Aug 2022, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.7 points lower and FDP 1.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Aug 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -1.7average 22.7
  • FDP +1.6average 7.4
  • AfD +1.1average 10.9
  • SPD -1.0average 20.0
  • CDU/CSU +0.4average 26.6
  • Linke +0.2average 4.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 183 seatsGrüne: 142 seatsSPD: 129 seatsAfD: 81 seatsFDP: 61 seatsLinke: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU183
  • Grüne142
  • SPD129
  • AfD81
  • FDP61
  • Linke34
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne325 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD393 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP373 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke346 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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