INSA poll of 2 August 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Jul 2022 to 1 Aug 2022
- Respondents
- 2,144
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.5%+0.5
- Grüne22.0%±0
- SPD18.5%-0.5
- AfD12.0%±0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 31 Jul 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.5%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 2,144 people were surveyed from 29 Jul 2022 to 1 Aug 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 31 Jul 2022, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Aug 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.7average 20.2
- AfD +1.2average 10.8
- Grüne -0.5average 22.5
- FDP +0.5average 7.5
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 26.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- Grüne151
- SPD127
- AfD82
- FDP55
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD390 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP363 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke342 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.