INSA poll of 31 July 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 29 Jul 2022
- Respondents
- 1,202
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%-0.5
- Grüne22.0%±0
- SPD19.0%+0.5
- AfD12.0%±0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Jul 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,202 people were surveyed from 25 to 29 Jul 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Jul 2022, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has FDP 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Jul 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +1.6average 7.4
- SPD -1.3average 20.3
- AfD +1.2average 10.8
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 26.5
- Grüne -0.5average 22.5
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU176
- Grüne149
- SPD129
- AfD81
- FDP61
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + Grüne325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD386 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP366 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke339 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.