INSA poll of 26 July 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 25 Jul 2022
- Respondents
- 2,043
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.5%-0.5
- Grüne22.0%-1.0
- SPD18.5%+0.5
- AfD12.0%±0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Jul 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.5%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 2,043 people were surveyed from 22 to 25 Jul 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Jul 2022, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.0 points lower and AfD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Jul 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.0average 20.5
- AfD +1.5average 10.5
- FDP +0.5average 7.5
- Grüne -0.4average 22.4
- Linke +0.4average 4.6
- CDU/CSU ±0average 26.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- Grüne151
- SPD127
- AfD82
- FDP55
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD390 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP363 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke342 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.