INSA poll of 24 July 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 22 Jul 2022
- Respondents
- 1,501
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%+0.5
- Grüne23.0%+1.0
- SPD18.0%-0.5
- AfD12.0%±0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke5.0%+0.5
- Others7.0%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Jul 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,501 people were surveyed from 18 to 22 Jul 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Jul 2022, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.6 points lower and AfD 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Jul 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.6average 20.6
- AfD +1.6average 10.4
- Grüne +0.6average 22.4
- CDU/CSU +0.5average 26.5
- FDP +0.5average 7.5
- Linke +0.4average 4.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU183
- Grüne156
- SPD122
- AfD81
- FDP54
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + Grüne339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD386 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP359 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke339 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.