INSA poll of 19 July 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 18 Jul 2022
- Respondents
- 2,062
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.5%+0.5
- Grüne22.0%±0
- SPD18.5%-0.5
- AfD12.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke4.5%-0.5
- Others8.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Jul 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.5%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 2,062 people were surveyed from 15 to 18 Jul 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Jul 2022, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.2 points lower and AfD 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Jul 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.2average 20.7
- AfD +1.8average 10.2
- FDP +0.5average 7.5
- Grüne -0.4average 22.4
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 26.6
- Linke -0.1average 4.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- Grüne159
- SPD134
- AfD87
- FDP58
- CDU/CSU + Grüne351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD326 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD380 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP337 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.