INSA poll of 16 July 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 15 Jul 2022
- Respondents
- 1,277
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
- Grüne22.0%+1.0
- SPD19.0%-1.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- FDP8.0%-0.5
- Linke5.0%+0.5
- Others9.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Jul 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,277 people were surveyed from 11 to 15 Jul 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Jul 2022, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Jul 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.7average 20.7
- AfD +0.8average 10.2
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 26.6
- Linke +0.5average 4.5
- Grüne -0.3average 22.3
- FDP +0.3average 7.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU180
- Grüne152
- SPD132
- AfD76
- FDP55
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD388 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP367 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke347 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP339 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + Linke319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.